Trump cheats at golf - the ONE and ONLY politics thread

And you acted like a convention bounce for both Trump and Clinton was a given.

Recent history shows that's not the case.

 

Why is Trump doing so well? Non-college educated whites love him.

They agree - per a CNN poll - with his hellish vision of America, 52-41. White folks with a degree reject it, 53-39.

 

By "acted like" you mean you read something that wasn't there. As usual.

 

Ah ... well, all's good. @cranberry didn't deign to weigh in, so in the interim I went ahead and give $100 to Herself's campaign. Given @cranberry's tardiness, just for giggles I donated another $100 to Bill Kreml's campaign and used @cranberry's email address ...

 

Trump's is the first "significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

Trump bounces into the lead - CNNPolitics.com

 

So, the overreaction to the bump was predictable, but you weren't predicting the bump itself?

 

Correct. This is that "nuance" thing that some of you really struggle with.

An overreaction to a possible event can be predictable without the event itself being guaranteed. And even a non-guaranteed event can be "predictable."

 

No. It was no great surprise that Don King wanted certain fighters in his stable to win either. Still doesn't make trying to rig the results right.

 

There was no rigging.

 

ch-ch-ch-cherrypick

 

Plenty of white folks with a degree are ignorant fools, too.

 

Not as many.