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Election Day Poll No. Whatever

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Moderator1, Nov 4, 2016.

?

Who is going to win?

Poll closed Nov 9, 2016.
  1. Clinton

    75 vote(s)
    87.2%
  2. Trump

    11 vote(s)
    12.8%
  1. Bronco77

    Bronco77 Well-Known Member

    In my county, you were allowed to early-vote at any site that offered it, regardless of whether the site was in your precinct. That's what I did, and as I approached the building I was offered all kinds of information on state and local candidates I couldn't vote for even if I wanted to because they were running outside my precinct. Was a waste of time and paper for the people handing out the stuff, and a pain in the butt for me.
     
    Last edited: Nov 8, 2016
  2. dixiehack

    dixiehack Well-Known Member

    I had nightmares about showing up at the wrong polling place.
     
  3. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    Would be a complete shocker at this point. Best barometer there is, is the Mexican Peso / Japanese Yen currency pair. It's the Trump-sensitive currency paired with the ultimate safe haven currency. And trust me, there is nothing signaling anything except a pantsuit bag of methane, combined with a republican congress. No orange anything. No surprises. Just status quo being priced in by a bunch of computer algorithms playing ping pong with each other for a day.

    There is no doubt about it in the currency markets. Maybe they have it all wrong -- they had Brexit wrong. But I would bet heavy against that happening again. Everyone is hypertuned in to possible surprises this time around. Even the slightest hint of any other outcome other than status quo / gridlock would be getting an outsized reaction. The only moves I have seen today were on bouts of speculation that Trump will contest things and it may drag on for a few days longer than it needs to.
     
  4. Gator

    Gator Well-Known Member

    About to head into the office for what I'm sure will be exciting times. Good luck to all tonight
     
  5. RickStain

    RickStain Well-Known Member

    Basically every piece of turnout and EV data I've seen in Florida has been good for Clinton. I'd be surprised if she wins by less than Obama 2012 there
     
  6. UPChip

    UPChip Well-Known Member

    I'm gonna go with a 50-50* in the Senate (so a mini-majority for the Democrats with a Hillary win). Probably will get to enjoy minute-by-minute coverage of every Senator's movements for the next two years lest one of them keel over and swing the whole electoral cycle.

    Technically 50-48 because of Jim Jeffords and Angus King, but whatever.
     
  7. dixiehack

    dixiehack Well-Known Member

    Wouldn't take that long. Virginia would hold special election to replace Kaine in 2017 and it notoriously breaks against the president's party in the next year's election.
     
  8. John

    John Well-Known Member

    I love the way some folks study this kind of stuff. Some of it I understand, other parts I don't.
     
  9. Captain_Kirk

    Captain_Kirk Well-Known Member

    Is it pizza night?
     
    Gator likes this.
  10. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    Mexican peso is getting crushed on the sudden uncertainty. So are U.S. equity futures -- down huge. Japanese yen up 2.5 + percent. Dollar selling off. This is unreal. There was certainty baked into markets a few hours ago. Now we are on a wild uncertainty ride. It is like Brexit all over again, at least for the moment.
     
  11. RickStain

    RickStain Well-Known Member

    Well, I was right about the data driven stuff like Colorado being safe and Florida being right.

    It is the upper Midwest that I missed utterly
     
  12. cjericho

    cjericho Well-Known Member

    every piece of turnout and EV data I've seen in Florida has been good for Clinton. I'd be surprised if she wins by less than Obama 2012 there
     
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