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President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Moderator1, Nov 12, 2016.

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  1. typefitter

    typefitter Well-Known Member

    What world are you living in where the women are believed 100 percent of the time? This poor woman is about to be dragged in ways the rest of us couldn't imagine, let alone survive.
     
    melock and Donny in his element like this.
  2. garrow

    garrow Well-Known Member

  3. Hermes

    Hermes Well-Known Member

    "What'd you have there, Ike, a seven?"
    "I planned the invasion of Western Europe that helped save humanity."
    "Par, then."
     
  4. typefitter

    typefitter Well-Known Member

    I find it super disturbing how many people are saying that even if Kavanaugh did what is alleged, it's just teenagers being dumb clumsy teenagers. I was the dumbest and clumsiest teenager of all time, and I never forced myself on anybody or covered their mouth to prevent the sounds of their screams from reaching the rest of the party. Some people are saying some version of, "If he's guilty, then we're all guilty." No we are fucking not.
     
    melock, bigpern23, X-Hack and 10 others like this.
  5. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    Just taking the other side of that. ... If you see her as "this poor woman," by default you have to see Kavanaugh as "that poor guy."

    Because all any of us have is, "She said, he said" right now. She might be telling the truth. But for all any of us know for certain, she could be lying and he could be having his integrity destroyed in the worst kind of politicized smear job imaginable. None of us know -- either way.

    I agree with others that we should take allegations like that seriously (even if the way it was handled by the Democrats was miserably bad), and if she wants to testify, he should be back before the Senate to at least answer questions before they vote -- put him on the record, under oath. At the end of the day, though, what is the likelihood that anything emerges that takes it from the realm of her word versus his word and establishes his guilt?

    I will say one thing. ... whenever someone is accused of something very serious, I get really turned off to their cause when they make a mealy denial or they hide. Obviously, an outraged denial doesn't really tell us whether he's guilty or not (he can just be a liar, of course), but what always rings truest to me is that when someone accuses you of something horrible that you didn't do, anyone who is really innocent would respond emphatically. If he is innocent (again, none of us know, at least right now), I can't imagine being anything except pissed off and screaming, "She's an f'in liar." I thought his latest statement did a decent job in that regard.
     
    Last edited: Sep 17, 2018
  6. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    We had that discussion last night. It was the female who started to write it off as, "What if he was drunk?" (in her defense, she has never been drunk in her life, so she doesn't know what it feels like or does to you). My response was something like, "I have been drunk to the point of near alcohol poisining in my life, and as much as it makes me into a stumbling, puking idiot, it has never turned me into a rapist. That is either in your nature or it isn't."
     
  7. HanSenSE

    HanSenSE Well-Known Member

    The best people.

     
  8. typefitter

    typefitter Well-Known Member

    Well, I guess it depends on how you define a victim. In this case, I believe the accuser, and I'll try to explain why:

    1) Her life is about to be made into hell. There is zero incentive for her to lie about this. She gains nothing.

    2) The details of her story ring true to me. I think it's good that she admits that she can't remember certain details, like what year it was. I have had some traumatic things happen in my life. We all have. Some details I remember. Some I don't. Sometimes I don't know the year—I know the rough phase of life I was in, but I don't remember the day or the year. But I can remember the smell or a particular sound. Memory is a funny thing. Some people see the holes in the story as gaps in her credibility. Those gaps speak to her credibility for me.

    3) The notes from her therapy sessions in 2012. Those are significant corroborations.

    4) Kavanaugh's friend's memoir of having been a blackout drunk. My strong suspicion is that this event occurred nearly exactly as she has described, and Kavanaugh was too drunk to remember it with any clarity. She can tell her version of events and he might say "I don't recollect that" and both of them might be telling the truth.

    5) Kavanaugh generally strikes me as untrustworthy and a liar. His finances were never explained sufficiently to me. He just seems shady. I don't think that's politics talking. I think he acts like a sinister person. He sets off my alarms.

    6) She's a professional truth-seeker. That's her literal expertise.

    Does that mean, combined, that she's right and he's wrong? No. And if for some reason she is lying—and for me, nobody lies without motive, so what's her motive here?—then yes, he is the victim. The falsely accused in the Rolling Stone story were victims. So were those lacrosse bros. (I see Merrick Garland as a different kind of victim, incidentally. I think he's a very sad case.)

    But I don't believe this is going to shake out the same way. Right now, for me, she's the victim. That's just how I feel.
     
  9. Inky_Wretch

    Inky_Wretch Well-Known Member

  10. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    Ezra Klein pointed out the fundamental dilemma Kavenaugh poses for Republicans. Any of them who abandon him are implicitly saying confessed sexual abuser Trump is unfit for his office, too. And that's why they can't just quietly tell Kavenaugh to withdraw his name for the good of the team.
     
  11. goalmouth

    goalmouth Well-Known Member

    TigerVols likes this.
  12. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    I don't want to go point by point to your numbered thing. Honestly, I think at least to a fair degree you are being pretty subjective in how you are interpreting what we do know. For me, there isn't enough there -- either way. I think your biases are painting how you judge each of their relative credibility. Because there isn't a whole lot of definitive evidence one way or the other about what REALLY happened (or didn't happen) 36 years ago. But on this point:

    I can think of potential reasons without having to think very hard. What if she just doesn't want Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court because of her politics, and she is so rabid about it that she'd be willing to lie and doesn't care if it puts her in the spotlight? That's the obvious. In the charged, shitty atmosphere of this country, there are a lot of people I can see behaving that way.

    For what it is worth, I am not suggesting that is the case. I don't know. But that is kind of the point. I'm not willing to judge the relative credibility of two people I don't know based on what she is alleging. ... or simply on his denial. I don't think it's fair to either of them -- if she is telling the truth, and let's say you were like, "I believe him," you'd be doing her a serious disservice. And if he is being railroaded or set up with a bogus story and facts created around it for politicized reasons, to me, you seem way too OK with him being potentially impugned that way.
     
    Last edited: Sep 17, 2018
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