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President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Moderator1, Nov 12, 2016.

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Page 9799 of 18258
  1. Starman

    Starman Well-Known Member

    Yeah, and that picture is like two years and 10,000 Big Macs old.

    Four hundred pounds, I'm fuckin tellin' ya. Not an ounce less.
     
    Starman, Nov 28, 2018
    #117577
  2. garrow

    garrow Well-Known Member

    garrow, Nov 28, 2018
    #117578
  3. Starman

    Starman Well-Known Member

    And Ivanky in the Jacuzzi!
     
    Starman, Nov 28, 2018
    #117579
    melock and Twirling Time like this.
  4. Azrael

    Azrael Well-Known Member

    but his gut

     
    Azrael, Nov 28, 2018
    #117580
  5. Baron Scicluna

    Baron Scicluna Well-Known Member

    Here's the thing. A pregnant woman standing next to me with a gun is a direct threat to me. A pregnant woman standing next to me on the way to an abortion is not a direct threat to me. That's one difference.

    Secondly, the fetus is inside and attached to the woman. I see many anti-aborts argue that it's a separate and equal person, even though physically, it is not. Suppose we do treat it separately and equal. Then, just like any other separate and equal person, it does not have the right to use another person's body without consent. Otherwise, the fetus would then be granted special rights, which, as we often heard from conservatives during the gay marriage debate, is supposed to be a bad thing.
     
    Baron Scicluna, Nov 28, 2018
    #117581
    lakefront and Smallpotatoes like this.
  6. heyabbott

    heyabbott Well-Known Member

    I could change my position on abortion if the anti-aborts would agree that the heightened government interest in the fetus extends to children until emancipated by operation of law, age 18. And that the fetus is entitled to medical care, nutrition and right to well being regardless of the mother’s ability to provide for the fetus. Further, that adoption be regulated for the best interest of the child, not as a money making industry for Betsy DeVoss, doctors, lawyers and churches.
     
    heyabbott, Nov 28, 2018
    #117582
  7. Oggiedoggie

    Oggiedoggie Well-Known Member

    My political cumpass must be on the fritz because I don’t have much of a problem with restrictions on both gun ownership/possession and abortion.
     
    Oggiedoggie, Nov 28, 2018
    #117583
  8. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    There are millions of cross-conflicted (the poli sci term) voters such as yourself, not just on those two issues, either. Whichever issue of the two is first and foremost in their minds often determines who wins elections.
     
    Michael_ Gee, Nov 28, 2018
    #117584
  9. Oggiedoggie

    Oggiedoggie Well-Known Member


    It’s not much of a cross-conflict for me. I just support reasonable regulation as opposed written-in-stone absolute rights.
     
    Oggiedoggie, Nov 28, 2018
    #117585
    lakefront likes this.
  10. Azrael

    Azrael Well-Known Member

    Border doctor lawyer patrol agrees.

     
    Azrael, Nov 28, 2018
    #117586
  11. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    Between Oct. 3 and Nov. 28, Jay Powell went from his band of merry monetary mandarins being "a long way from neutral" to "just below neutral" in terms of where their price-administered short-term rate is from the hypothetical neutral rate (where the rate would be if a free market instead of a group of czars were determining the price of money. What a novel idea).

    Surprise, surprise on the backpedaling on the rhetoric. Wash, rinse, repeat.

    How those clowns have any credibility in the world is beyond reason at this point. But this is a country that elected Donald Trump president so clearly reason doesn't matter much. A lot of equity shorts are getting unwound today as he gave the computer algorithms just the thing to make some quick money on a short squeeze.

    The odds of rate hikes next year are down across the board and the futures market is now pricing in 2 quarter point hikes instead of 3. The problem is that the closer the short-term rate gets to whatever the neutral rate is (and odds of a December hike actually went up a bit), the more pressure there is gong to be on the credit markets that have started to buckle. And 25 basis points over 12 months either way isn't the difference. They are not calibrating some finely tuned machine. They are just draining liquidity from the overleveraged mess they created in the world.

    At the same time, their balance sheet unwind is on a preset course (they just increased to $50 billion a month from $40 billion a month) and unless they turn tail on that and turn what is effectively quantitative tightening now back into quantitative easing, they are slowly draining liquidity. ... after a decade of flooding markets with mispriced leverage. Rhetoric isn't going to stop a credit crisis when something gives. And something is going to give. Actions might hold it off and blow the bubble a bit bigger, but he needs to completely turn tail, start bringing rates back down to negative, initiate more asset buying, etc. And that isn't what he is saying. ... yet, at least.

    They -- and markets -- are as clueless as they were in 1999 and 2007. It's amazing how people never learn.
     
    The Big Ragu, Nov 28, 2018
    #117587
  12. TigerVols

    TigerVols Well-Known Member

    OK @The Big Ragu where should we put our assets in order to profit off the coming collapse -- today's housing report has me ready to make a killing on the disaster ahead.
     
    TigerVols, Nov 28, 2018
    #117588
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