President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

It would swing some tiny number of "undecided" voters hanging on to Fatfuck out of sheer party loyalty.

Now on the other hand, I suppose it might chase away some voters who utterly detest GWB, but most of those people would be voting Dem anyway.

 

correct. This election has almost nothing to do with Biden. It is almost entirely a referendum on Trump.

 

Biden will get 400+ EVs, true or false?

 

If Biden looks reasonably competent and sane, he wins, because Fatfuck isn't.

 

easy false. The only way that happens is if Trump literally dies on stage in the next three weeks and then Pence does something majorly scandalous in the aftermath.

He would need to sweep every presumed competitive state plus also win Ohio, Georgia and Texas. We are talking five points more favorable to him than we already are. I’m not even sure that’s possible in our currently polarized electorate. The worst Republican candidate imaginable still holds on to those states narrowly. Which I guess isn’t a hypothetical and is in fact exactly what we are seeing play out.

 

He's essentially at 290 now and even if you give him all the remaining toss-ups -- Iowa, Ohio, Georgia, N.C. and Florida -- he only gets to 374.

Texas would obviously put him over.

Maybe he squeaks out South Carolina if there's enough Graham backlash and there's a surge in turnout.

Outside of that what's next possible that already is red? Missouri? Alaska?

 

I hate to play the part of Peggy Noonan, but driving around the Ohio countryside and seeing the sheer number of Trump signs gives me little confidence Biden can win the state.

I have seen more Biden signs than I did Hillary signs, though. But I’m pretty sure in’16 I didn’t see a SINGLE Clinton sign in my small town for the entire cycle that year. She was that unpopular. And it’s Indiana, which is a even redder.

 

How a Right-Wing Network Mobilized Sheriffs’ Departments

The Atlantic has a story on this also.

We need a landslide defeat.

 

There’s a report Trump weighed 322 pounds at Walter Reed
It was called fake news
He’s probably closer to 350

 

False.

335 is probably the ceiling, and that's giving him Florida and North Carolina while Trump wins Ohio, Georgia and Iowa.

 

What he should say is denying Garland and rushing Barrett is court packing

 

Donestown