Muh Muh Muh My Corona (virus)

Alabama's Rt is back up to 1.23.

 

About 97.3% of COVID doom headlines are qualified by "may." 97.2% get posted here.

 

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The crazy thing is ... that's not *that* high. Remember early on when we were trying to figure out the R0 without interventions and the range was like 2.5-6?

It's crazy how we have consistently been able to get it *close* to 1 but not below it.

 

It drives me crazy, it's journalistic malpractice in headline writing. Anyone writing a headline knows or should know that the average reader will interpret "can" or "may" as roughly 50/50. If that is not the true odds, you are fabricating information when you write it that way.

 

Pfizer admitted they won't be getting efficacy confirmation this month:

No news on Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine is good news — and bad news

They just aren't getting positives among the test subjects fast enough.

 

New York Post not a fan of "may" headlines. They just stated equivocally that it's true.

https://nypost-com.cdn.ampproject.o...3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s

 

From August 31 through October 5th it has been below 1 here. I use the BamaTracker dashboard, which only updates Rt on Mondays (may be a State Dept. of Health thing). This month has been .94 on the 5th, then 1.01, 1.1, and 1.23 on the 26th.

Per the WaPo's dashboard, our highest number of new cases ever recorded was on Oct. 23 (3800+) with new cases up over 80% in the last week and a positivity rate of 25%.

Alabama COVID-19 Case Tracker

https://www.washingtonpost.com/grap...onavirus-us-cases-deaths/?itid=sf_coronavirus

 

ffs

Covid-19 Live Updates: Sharp Increase in Patients With Coronavirus Strains U.S. Hospitals

N.J’s Largest City Shuts Down Again as Virus Cases Surge

Worth asking if this is the second wave we all knew was coming. Or, especially in the upper midwest, still the late-arriving first wave.

Also not sure it matters.

 

make a plan

https://www.washingtonpost.com/life...93bbe2-1479-11eb-ba42-ec6a580836ed_story.html

 

Dodgers’ Justin Turner Was Pulled From Game 6 After Positive Virus Test

collar-popping superspreader and frathouse sergeant-at-arms Clay Travis has a take

 

Looking Back on Baseball’s Silent Season