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President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Moderator1, Nov 12, 2016.

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  1. DanielSimpsonDay

    DanielSimpsonDay Well-Known Member

    we love a horse race and someone needs to set the odds
     
    DanielSimpsonDay, Nov 3, 2020
    #200917
  2. Moderator1

    Moderator1 Moderator Staff Member

    Without PA?
     
    Moderator1, Nov 3, 2020
    #200918
  3. outofplace

    outofplace Well-Known Member

    Y'all are ruining my attempt to hold on to some hope, dammit!

    I really don't understand what people are thinking. I know Biden will still probably win the popular vote, but who gives a fuck? Trump will act like he has a mandate anyway.
     
    outofplace, Nov 3, 2020
    #200919
    bigpern23 likes this.
  4. Twirling Time

    Twirling Time Well-Known Member

    The new House breaks the tie, so who knows, it could be 25-25 in delegations. A real Bud Selig moment.
     
    Twirling Time, Nov 3, 2020
    #200920
  5. tapintoamerica

    tapintoamerica Well-Known Member

    Nate Silver and all other pundits need to be shunned. Their predictions are worthless.
    Here are some of Five Thirty Eight's predictions:
    Florida: Allegedly a 69% chance of a Biden win. Very wrong.
    North Carolina: Allegedly a 64% chance of a Biden win. Wrong.
    Georgia: A 58% chance of a Biden win. What a fucking mess that is.
    Get one of them right. Just one.
     
    tapintoamerica, Nov 3, 2020
    #200921
  6. Twirling Time

    Twirling Time Well-Known Member

    That's how I figured it.
     
    Twirling Time, Nov 3, 2020
    #200922
  7. outofplace

    outofplace Well-Known Member

    Yes, Biden can still win without PA, but right now he is down in Michigan and Wisconsin, too.
     
    outofplace, Nov 3, 2020
    #200923
  8. Jerry-atric

    Jerry-atric Well-Known Member

    Yes.
     
    Jerry-atric, Nov 3, 2020
    #200924
  9. RickStain

    RickStain Well-Known Member

    Yes. What he's presumed to win now + WI + MI + AZ + NE-02 would yield 270-268 for Biden even if he loses PA. Which in theory wins but you know the faithless elector shit would be ratcheted up to 100.
     
    RickStain, Nov 3, 2020
    #200925
    Neutral Corner and TowelWaver like this.
  10. Splendid Splinter

    Splendid Splinter Well-Known Member

    Why do you keep replying to that troll?
     
    Splendid Splinter, Nov 3, 2020
    #200926
    Twirling Time likes this.
  11. RickStain

    RickStain Well-Known Member

    You know those aren't independent, right? The whole point of his model is that states that are regionally similar will often move together. If you told it that Trump would win one, it would have moved up his odds in the other two.
     
    RickStain, Nov 3, 2020
    #200927
    Donny in his element and sgreenwell like this.
  12. RickStain

    RickStain Well-Known Member

    Maybe this is misplaced, but I'm not too worried about WI and MI. Those are classic "rurals report first, then the cities dump blue votes at the end" states.
     
    RickStain, Nov 3, 2020
    #200928
    Neutral Corner, Jerry-atric and TowelWaver like this.
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