President Biden: The NEW one and only politics thread

DanielSimpsonDay · Apr 15, 2022

UPChip said: ↑

Minnesota is in kind of a weird situation right now. The governor, Tim Walz, who has basically governed as Minnesota's strict but earnest Dad, is strongly hated for relatively strict COVID management policies in the non-urban parts of the state and has the albatross of sitting on his hands too long when the George Floyd situation got out of control. The Dad stuff makes him a lot more tolerable than douchebag white liberals like Jacob Frey, but Minnesota is purple enough that he would be in significant trouble ... if the state GOP had its shit together in any way shape or form. The state party is currently under an interim chief after a palace coup ousted Jennifer Carnahan, who was married to a dying (now dead) Congressman and was best buddies with an operative who was busted for trafficking underage girls. She was also apparently an asshole boss.

Meanwhile, their candidates for governor include but are not limited to:

The utterly grim former state Senate majority leader, who has a degree from Oral Roberts, a non-binary kid who hates him and celebrated narrowly holding on to the state Senate majority in 2020 by having a party that got one of his members killed due to COVID.

A nutbar former state Senator and COVID-denier doctor who chose as his running mate (already), Matt Birk, Harvard graduate, Vikings offensive lineman, COVID troller and Shiite Catholic father of eight.

An official Black Republican Outsider in the Herman Cain tradition who convinced BFF Michelle Tafoya to leave the sidelines, or at least the left side of the field, but just to do comms.

A former Minneapolis Police Department officer and Hennepin (Minneapolis) County Sheriff who was also briefly the state public safety commissioner during the last Republican administration in the mid-2000s until it was found he enjoyed many a good racial slur during the early part of his career.

A handful of other unremarkable officeholders, activistis and Official Outsiders.

At the Congressional district level, the new Minnesota maps didn't change a lot after redistricting. There's still one tossup district out of eight, the result of which will determine whether Republicans have five seats or six from the state. My district is probably going to remain reliably red until the environmentalist wing of the Democratic Party stops fighting tooth and nail against mining projects in Northern Minnesota that they should be fighting against but are a huge political wedge issue because there is no other way to make a good living in that part of the state.

Despite the doomsaying, I really don't think we're going to know the lay of the land until mid-summer when everyone starts going out on the trail, Trump puts his foot in his mouth a couple dozen times and voters are confronted things like Trump's love of Putin and Jan. 6 (not to mention prices potentially stabilizing and COVID hopefully fading over the good-weather months).

We've gotten wintry mix storms in each of the last four consecutive weeks, so everyone's pissed off about everything. Jesus might not be able to win as an incumbent if the election were held this week.
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/Minnesotans when Jesus turns water into wine

UPChip · Apr 15, 2022

DanielSimpsonDay said: ↑

/Minnesotans when Jesus turns water into wine
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They'd be mad it wasn't craft beer.

dixiehack · Apr 15, 2022

I’d say the cake is 80 percent baked for a GOP landslide. Maybe that changes if SCOTUS completely shreds Roe and enough people get motivated on the left. Maybe.

MileHigh · Apr 15, 2022

DanOregon said: ↑

Anyone else have any sense of primary season in your state? In Oregon we have two open Congressional seats - one brand new, and an open Governor's race. Most polls show "undecided" with a healthy lead in all polls, but we're just a month out from election day. The new congressional seat contest is especially weird - a guy who grew up in Oregon, and only moved back after COVID hit to work remotely has raised about $6m already despite having zero political experience and almost zero voting history in Oregon (despite never re-registering in another state). And yet, Pelosi's PAC just gave the guy $1m in a primary that includes at least two who have logged time in the Oregon state legislature.
The weirdest thing is - all of the races - for both Ds and Rs are pretty much toss-ups, but there seems to be little interest in any of the races.
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Redistricting didn't change things much here in the Rockies, other than a new district. Redistricting is done by an "independent" commission that is evenly split among Rs, Ds and Is (part of a voter-passed amendment). Six of the seven congressional incumbents are running and appear safe and I think the commission got it mostly right. Not everyone is going to be happy. We have a new district, which I'm now in, in the northern Denver suburbs into more red areas to the north that will be the most competitive. The open seat has been in D hands for a while, but it has tilted more red.

I expect the D governor to easily win re-election. He's had more of a libertarian streak to him than the Boulder liberal he was slammed with four years ago.

The moderate D senator will easily win.

This is a blue state now. Every statewide office save for a university regent seat is held by Ds. There are whackadoodle Rs running in some races, notably SOS even though she's been indicted for election tampering even though the current SOS uses her office way too politically than it normally has been.

garrow · Apr 15, 2022

What were some of the problems used in the textbooks that were CRT?

If a racist loses an election by 7 million votes, then incites a violent insurrection leaving five people dead, how high is his approval rating in his party?

Baron Scicluna · Apr 15, 2022

Octave said: ↑

"Tell me what I should be saying" is straight-up cult stuff. Mike's cowardice is no surprise but his gall certainly is.
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If whatever Dem who’s running against him has the guts, every time Lee says something, they should respond with “who told you to say that?”

Twirling Time · Apr 15, 2022

dixiehack said: ↑

I’d say the cake is 80 percent baked for a GOP landslide. Maybe that changes if SCOTUS completely shreds Roe and enough people get motivated on the left. Maybe.
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Define "landslide." 40 seats?

I think SCOTUS splits the baby and upholds Roe using the Mississippi 15-week standard. Two of the three pre-Trump GOP-appointed justices in particular are absolutely political and will recognize that going beyond that will energize the left. Roberts is for sure. Alito is enough of a hack to know where that dog is going to hunt. Clarence is in IDGAF mode.

The crazy political state pols like Stitt and Abbott will go screw for once. That is my prediction.

Neutral Corner · Apr 16, 2022

MTM · Apr 16, 2022

DanOregon said: ↑

Anyone else have any sense of primary season in your state? In Oregon we have two open Congressional seats - one brand new, and an open Governor's race. Most polls show "undecided" with a healthy lead in all polls, but we're just a month out from election day. The new congressional seat contest is especially weird - a guy who grew up in Oregon, and only moved back after COVID hit to work remotely has raised about $6m already despite having zero political experience and almost zero voting history in Oregon (despite never re-registering in another state). And yet, Pelosi's PAC just gave the guy $1m in a primary that includes at least two who have logged time in the Oregon state legislature.
The weirdest thing is - all of the races - for both Ds and Rs are pretty much toss-ups, but there seems to be little interest in any of the races.
Click to expand...

California Gov. Gavin Newsom, who was headed toward recall one year ago before the Democratic majority rallied, does not face one legitimate Republican challenger in his reelection bid.
The state lost a Congressional seat for the first time maybe ever, but the parties should kept the seats they have.

DanOregon · Apr 16, 2022

There is strong consensus in Oregon that an independent board should draw the maps - the elected Dems defied the party base and did the usual thing, on the idea that "fair" would be giving up an electoral advantage. I have no doubt that the GOP would do it the same way - but the increasing numbers of non-affiliated voters will likely lead to a state initiative that will get an independent commission passed in the next year or two. It will also likely produce more electeds closer to the center since districts won't be so blue or red.

justgladtobehere · Apr 16, 2022

2muchcoffeeman said: ↑

It’s gone. What was it?
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I forget. Some bullshit claim that was not reported anywhere. Ask the original poster.

justgladtobehere · Apr 16, 2022

2muchcoffeeman said: ↑

It’s gone. What was it?
Click to expand...

It was about Musk pumping and dumping Twitter.

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President Biden: The NEW one and only politics thread

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President Biden: The NEW one and only politics thread

DanielSimpsonDay Well-Known Member

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Twirling Time Well-Known Member

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