2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Running Thread

It's that time of year again.

 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurr...ged-hurricane-season-possible-in-2024/1623587

While the Atlantic hurricane season does not officially start until June 1, there are already “serious and growing concerns” about the impending season, AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter said.
There are two key factors that have AccuWeather forecasters sounding the early warning of a potentially super-charged season: The return of La Niña and historically warm water across the Atlantic Ocean.

 

Well, we're off the races. Wheee!

 

Is it the third week of August already?

 

The I storm always seems to be the worst.

 

The Fs have been a problem for the East Coast when they come later in the year.
Fran
Floyd
Florence

 

It's too early for this.

@Driftwood, you're grounded until you turn 65.

 

I honestly thought I'd started it later than I did in previous years, but it does turn out I'm early.
Never too early to prepare, though.

 

Gulf of Mexico water temperatures are back on the rise after a mild winter. Not sure they'll reach bathtub temps, but the locals are spooked after an unusually dry and hot (for Florida) summer last year.

 

Early hurricane season forecast suggests extremely high number of storms

Early forecasts for the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season suggest it could be extreme, perhaps even record-breaking.
Colorado State University, a prominent hurricane and tropical weather forecast center, released its predictions on Thursday: 11 hurricanes, five of which are expected to become Category 3, 4 or 5, meaning they’d have wind speeds of at least 111 mph. Overall, the researchers anticipate 23 named storms this season.
An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes (Category 3 or above), according to the National Hurricane Center.

The two main reasons forecasters expect the coming season — which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30 — to be so far above average are extreme levels of Atlantic Ocean heat and a seasonal switch to La Niña, a natural pattern of variability. Ocean temperatures have been record-high for a year, which makes powerful storms more likely and can enable them to intensify more quickly.
The Colorado forecast says there is a 62% chance that a major hurricane strikes the U.S. coastline, which is about 19% higher than the baseline.

 

Hopefully they are fish storms.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ane-season-2024-forecast-outlook/73801719007/

The start of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is just over a week away, and federal forecasters Thursday predicted an "extraordinary" season with as many as 25 named storms possible.
This is the most storms the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has ever predicted in a preseason outlook. "All the ingredients are in place for an active season," said National Weather Service director Ken Graham at a press conference in Washington, D.C.
Previously, the record number of storms predicted in a preseason outlook from NOAA had been "14 to 23 named storms," back in 2010, according to Erica Grow Cei, a spokesperson for the National Weather Service.
The record for most actual named storms in a season is 30, set in 2020. A typical year averages about 14 tropical storms, seven of which spin into hurricanes, based on weather records that date from 1991 to 2020.

 

We have a Kirk. We really need a Khan.