President Biden: The NEW one and only politics thread

Too soon.

 

Your phone rings
It's just some friends of mine that say
"Hey, what's the matter, man?
We're gonna come around at twelve
With some Puerto Rican girls that's just dyin' to meet you
We're gonna bring a case of Cokes
Hey, let's go mess and fool around
You know, like we used to"

 

Nice way of saying “orange.”

 

Kilmeade gets laughed at in a great way.

 

I think he means they work for minimum wage at Mar-a-Lago.

 

It should be impossible

Why it would be difficult for Trump to reverse the 2024 election results

 

Fun with numbers, one week out in Georgia ...

OK, I've got a spreadsheet with the 2020 percentages of voting by county for Trump-Biden-Other, and tonight's in-person raw data balloting totals -- over 3,000,000 votes with an entire week left before Election Day. Right now, about 46 percent of all Georgia registered voters have already cast ballots.

Biden beat Trump 49.47 to 49.24, with 1.39 voting for third-party candidates in 2020.

This is just plugging in 2024 raw data numbers over the 2020 percentages county by county -- and doesn't include 190,000 absentee ballots, which skew heavily toward metro Atlanta -- but here's a snapshot of where Georgia might be right now if Harris hasn't lost any of Biden's support. That's a HUGE if, because just one or two percentage points in Cobb or Gwinnett, where Biden outperformed projections, would make a major difference. Also, voting in Augusta and Savannah is lagging behind the state average. On the other hand, she might be drawing better numbers than Biden in Fulton and DeKalb.

I'm not taking into account age, gender or race. Just the raw numbers.

**SIMULATION TOTALS, NOT ACTUAL RESULTS**

Total votes: 3,072,483
Trump: 1,533,625
Harris: 1,500,399
Other: 38,459

This is going to be a very close race again, it appears.

 

Were there actual early voting totals available like this in 2020? All I remember reading about was total votes cast. Now we're getting all kinds of exact results. I thought although the votes were cast early, they weren't actually counted until Nov. 5.

 

Can you tell how many of the "Other" voters are registered with horseshit parties like the Constitution Party or the Green Party and how many are entirely lacking in party ID, i.e. independent?
All totals assume both Ds and Rs have zero defections, correct?

 

I don't think any are counted with candidates yet. I think these numbers are referring to party ID and assuming all registered Ds are Harris voters and all Trumpist klan voters are voting with their lord and savior.

 

There is no formal party registration in Georgia, so I assume this is based off who these voters pulled primary ballots for. That would also mean no way to parse out third party totals, since there isn’t really a Green or Libertarian primary to vote in.