Gambling Thread

DK’s SGP boosts on NFL are down from risk free, to 50%, to 25% and now are 10%.

 

Thought that this was a pretty interesting podcast episode — a podcast producer makes bets on behalf of a top sports gambler and the books where she wins cut her off for making bets which are too good and the books where she loses set her up with VIP status. Dirty industry.

https://www.pushkin.fm/podcasts/against-the-rules/episode-5-the-mule

 

I've also noticed of late to get any sort of parlay boost, you have to go with four legs minimum. I make a lot of three-leg bets, and they're hard enough to hit. Four legs is a lot. Perfect example was last Sunday. Needed a fourth leg on a TD scorer bet to get the boost. Of course three of them hit.

Had been on quite the cold streak but am just trying to pick things up with smart single bets, have won three in a row. Saw that Chicago State was only getting -6.5 at home against Eastern Kentucky on Tuesday. I'm deep enough into low-level college hoops that I know any even OK DI team is going to win by double digits there. Chicago State is terrible, might only win a handful of games, lost just about everyone from that surprisingly decent team from last year. Jumped on it and parlayed EKU -4 first half with the -6.5 game. Hit easily.

Yesterday, was watching Clemson-South Carolina women, and when Clemson was hanging around in the first quarter, the live line dropped to SC -13.5. Jumped hard on that, knowing that SC loves to play with its food for a quarter or so before routing people. Exactly what happened. Then jumped on O27.5 in Toledo-Ohio at halftime last night when Toledo led 7-0. Both teams were moving the ball, they just weren't scoring. Three TDs didn't seem like a big ask in MACtion. Ohio puts 24 up in the second half to hit the over.

 

Ho hum call me when you are derelicting in the CAA, Cosmo.

 

Thanks for the reference, I listened today. Pretty interesting, although man that podcast has as much commercial load as a PGA broadcast.

I will tune in to episode 6.

 

A very dirty industry.

It is clear to this “winner” that the books are doing whatever they can to absolutely max profits right now as they probably know a decade from now, the regulation or banning will emerge.

98 percent of players lose money and the revenue for the state won’t be anywhere near what the supporters always promise.

Also, I took the $1500 and paid the tuition with that.

 

TAMU failing to hold the 3 point lead after the massive rally cost me an 8 teamer worth almost 3k.

Made it exciting as could be.

 

Ugh. I feel your pain. I've been chasing that dragon ever since my near-miss a few weeks ago.
I still want to burn Rice's stadium to the fucking ground.

 

I think I mentioned before that November is usually when I get into a groove with college football.
Not this year.
I don't know if it's the general overall chaos of this weird season or what, but I suddenly can't pick a game to save my life. I went 0-6 on bets last week and am 0-4 so far today, with UCLA +4.5 still pending.
I've had a mix of single-game and parlays, but it's just being so wrong on games that's bothering me. Like, I took South Alabama -22.5 today at Southern Miss and they won 35-14. I wasn't wrong on how that game would go, it just didn't quite get home. I can live with that. What's worse are the favorites who lose outright and even get their ass kicked like Colorado and Ole Miss today.
I'm eager for Thanksgiving weekend — it's usually one I do very well on — but I'm also glad the college season is almost over. This kind of slump shakes your confidence.

 

Took a small three-teamer today.

Washington m/l
Vikings -3.5
KC/Carolina over 43.5

 

I hopped onto that train... Good luck to us both.

I also took a 6 leg parlay (all spread): Washington, Detroint, Minnesota, Tampa Bay, KC and GB and an 8 team round robin (combos of 5, 6, 7) with the same 6 plus both LA teams.

 

I also took a 200+ passing yard parlay with Mahomes, Mayfield, and Stroud

A Minnesota -3.5, Washington m/l, and KC/Carolina over 43.5

Then another small parlay with Detroit -7.5 and Gibbs with a touchdown. That’s the only one I’m really concerned about.