Gambling Thread

Is Cal so bad that Notre Dame should be favored by 3.5? Notre Dame hasn’t covered as a favorite their last five tries. But Cal has only won two games away from home.

 

Not that you asked for a recap, but..
NC State lost early in the day, but i still liked CP SLO, and UCSD. So i placed the same parlay again, and inserted Duke.

Duke covered
SLO covered

UCSD was ahead in the 11-14 range pretty much the entire game. They hit a 3 to go up 13 (the spread was 12.5) with 25 seconds left. UC Davis hits a jumper late to cut the lead to 11, which would kill the parlay for me.

UCSD gets the inbound pass at half court with 7 seconds left, but the player decides to dribble out as the announcer says, "that's a classy move".

You know what you never want to hear when you still need a bucket to cover?

"That's a classy move".

 

A classy move won me an under by a half-point a couple weeks ago, about 20 seconds after a guy missed a free throw.

Hoping for some non-classy moves when Drexel tips against Towson shortly. Towson games have scored 125 or more in 11 of the last 12 and today’s total is 122.5. Of course, the one was against Drexel, when they couldn’t break a hundred. And six of Drexel’s past 12 games haven’t made it to 120. But of course the teams’ first meeting wound up at 175 points.

So today’s The Sports Prediction is that there are enough signs for an over and that both of these teams make it into the 60s. It won’t be sweat-free, but a close game means free throws at the end and maybe even overtime to clinch the over.

 

Guess it was sweat-free.

Which means I’m hoping Bradley and Drake are also sweat-free. The total has dropped three points overnight to 119.5. Warranted, because Drake games are low-scoring. And Drake/Bradley games are especially low-scoring, combining for 120 and 122 points in their two meetings. But that’s more than 119.5!

The Sports Prediction is that there won’t be a lot of points in this one, but there will be enough. Bradley hasn’t played a game that went below this total while low-scoring Drake has only done it twice — once against a team that just got rid of its coach.

 

What a dope! They shattered the over barely halfway thru the second half! Even when you're right you're wrong!

Delaware-W&M is a sneaky candidate to go way under (164.5). Two of the fastest-tempo teams in the country, but Delaware is playing its third game in under 48 hours and W&M has scored under 75 in eight of its last 10.

 

William & Mary up 49-47 at the half. A reminder that if you're still listening to me after all these years, that's your fault!

 

Bradley and Drake decided to slow my roll.

Maybe we'll get rolling again with Charleston and UNC Wilmington over 147½. (Hi again, @BYH 2: Electric Boogaloo!) Both teams have been spending the last two months in the lofty heights of above 150, including their two matchups against each other. Wilmington won 86-66 last month and 85-83 toward the end of January. In fact, Wilmington has scored 77 or more in 12 of its last 14 games -- 70 in the other two. Odds are they do it again, so we leave it up to Charleston to keep up. Considering Wilmington is just a 3½-point favorite, Charleston should. Especially since it has scored in the 70s or higher in nine of its last 13 games.

The Sports Prediction calls for a back-and-forth game as both teams score and give up an average of at least 70 points per game. A close game should yield a decent number of free throws down the stretch and a final score around the 150 mark if not higher.

 

All of this Big South talk is giving me nightmare flashbacks to my newspaper days.

 

After I was talking up how bad UAPB and Mississippi Valley State are, they both covered with room to spare and almost won outright on Saturday.
Don't ever listen to me.

 

I hate to agree with you on anything but yeah, they should go over fairly easily. I think UNCW wins with a fairly easy cover, though.

 

For conference tournaments, bear in mind how many days in a row they have played and how their legs may have given out, leading to a lot of clunkers off the rim.