Muh Muh Muh My Corona (virus)

Agreed. Also, how many more tests are being done? More tests equal more cases. See what the percentage of new tests coming back as positive is and do that over a seven-day average.

On May 1, Colorado's seven-day average of tests coming back positive was 23.3 percent. Yesterday, it was 10.2 percent -- and that's after the first phase of reopening.

 

Incubation doesn't follow an either / or script.

Some places may act stupidly and not pay a price with a ton of infections and deaths. It doesn't mean they weren't acting stupidly.

If I put five bullets into a six shooter, and I don't kill myself when I play Russian roulette, it doesn't mean I was acting smart -- even though things turned out OK.

There are probably all kinds of factors related to how this virus spreads that we are not understanding. For example, it may turn out that it doesn't spread as fast as the weather warms up. If that turns out to be the case, it doesn't mean that some of the decisions that have been made were reasoned decisions. They were reckless decisions in which the outcomes were lucky.

It also means that if the same unreasoned decision making continues to drive people's behavior, there could be a huge recurrence in the fall or winter that we won't react well to.

Given where our knowledge has been for the last few weeks, a lot of people are acting recklessly. That is true whether the number of cases spike today, two weeks from now, or don't spike at all. That isn't me having it "both ways." To me, the reasonable way to approach this was to consider all the available knowledge we had about the virus and its spread and make reasoned cost /benefit decisions about the best ways to contain it. That is not what has gone on in a lot of places. And in fact, the decision making process was so reckless at various levels of our Federal and state governments, that they have used misinformation and have gone to lengths to hide and obscure information that they know would demonstrate their recklessness.