2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Running Thread

Earliest Cat 5 ever.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/01/weather/hurricane-beryl-caribbean-landfall-monday/index.html

 

Gonna be a long summer.

 

It'll be a Cat 1 before it touches land. Nothing else matters.

 

Folks in the Caribbean might disagree with that.

 

TIL, "Beryl" is pronounced as "Barrel" not "Burl."

 

You ain't from 'round here, are you?

 

I know a Beryl/Burl!

 

I always struggle when I write that, because phonetically it really should end with "air ye?" or "ahr yuh?". It just looks pretentious as hell written out that way.

 

Not that anywhere is a good place for a Cat 5, but the King Ranch is probably a best-case scenario. And I'm really leery of those hard-right-turn projections.

 

This far out I don't pay a lot of attention to projections. Once it gets into the Gulf they're more accurate. I've seen too many hurricanes move in completely unpredictable ways over the years.

 

Yeah, all of a sudden there's disagreement with the models. Most of them show a curve north and the middle of the cone is basically South Padre. They've given us a 50% chance of rain Friday and Saturday from it. If it goes west of Fort Worth and we get the dirty side, we're in for a gullywasher.