LongTimeListener said:
I appreciate Double Down's attempts on my behalf. I suspect that he too is finding that there is no convincing some people, but it's nice to know the points weren't lost on everyone.
My argument was always, from the second I jumped into the Tebow storyline after the first KC game, that it was hella fun to watch in an otherwise cookie-cutter NFL and that the Broncos were A) using their best quarterback; and B) putting him in position to win. I was always pretty sure the ride would end at some point; my early guess was the New England game, but the rails didn't really come off until the Buffalo game. In any case, I still hold that after a 1-4 start there is no way they are even 8-8 with Orton.
There is still a belief that all Tebow's comebacks were a happy accident and that end-of-game football is no different from second-quarter football. That's ridiculous to me. But if you're going to judge football on a spreadsheet, I suppose it's the way to look at it.
I'm on a phone and away from a computer for a couple of days, so I can't go look up all the posts, but there are many many posts by many different people saying the Broncos were winning despite Tebow. That they were "marginalizing" him, after a game when he had 20+ carries. It's all there.
In the big picture, he was a first-time starter who was struggling with accuracy but playing mistake-free, helping his defense (with an enormous increase in opponent field position over where they were with Orton), keeping his team in the game and putting it together at the end. Not a bad profile. The difference is the last three weeks -- and a little bit before that, but especially the last three weeks -- he wasn't playing mistake-free. That is the big problem and the big change.
Funny thing is, after this season I figure I'm off the Tebow bandwagon anyway, because he's either going to be unable to run a pro-style offense or he's going to beat the odds and learn how to run one, in which case he's going to look like everyone else and I won't care.
But y'all just wait till Blake Bell gets in the league!
The only thing I can add to this is that I do believe Tim Tebow, if put in a system that fits his skill-set, is one of the 32 best quarterbacks in the NFL. He's probably one of the 20 best, but I'd have to make a list to be sure.
You can make the standard argument that NFL teams run that standard "pro-style" offense because it's proved effective against NFL defenses. I'd counter that the Saints and the Steelers run exceedingly different offenses built around their respective quarterbacks with the intention of maximizing strengths and weaknesses.
I would also say that because so many teams run such similar offenses, if you've got Kyle Orton (or Rex Grossman or Dan Orlovsky or A.J. Feeley or John Skelton or Kellen Clemens or Tarvaris Jackson, etc.) as your signal caller, you're resigning yourself to mediocrity. There aren't enough stud quarterbacks to go around. If you don't have one, you can do one of two things: stick with the status quo and hope to find enough success in the traditional run game and on defense to eke out enough wins to qualify for the playoffs or take a risk and think outside the box.
Fox obviously made clear in the early part of this season that he wanted to stay traditional and blindly hope it worked. It didn't. He made the smart decision to take a chance, an it worked. And the Broncos went 7-4 with Tebow starting. And while it's frustrating to watch Tebow fail to complete a routine pass, it's startling to watch him take off on a draw play or heave a deep ball. He makes plays in ways that many NFL starting quarterbacks, with this set of weapons, couldn't.