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Trump cheats at golf - the ONE and ONLY politics thread

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by SnarkShark, Jan 22, 2016.

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  1. YankeeFan

    YankeeFan Well-Known Member

    Tied:


     
  2. YankeeFan

    YankeeFan Well-Known Member

    40% for each candidate. 36% each, with Johnson at 12%, in a three way race.

    LOL. Hillary Clinton is at 36%.

     
  3. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    It seems like Pence, but maybe that's because I'm in the eye of the storm.
     
  4. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    Remember a few days ago when everyone here was calling me a troll for saying her polling was slipping?
     
  5. doctorquant

    doctorquant Well-Known Member

    You weren't a troll ... you were just dripping with bias. Don't you remember?
     
  6. Vombatus

    Vombatus Well-Known Member

    There's only one poll that matters - that little one on a Tuesday in early in November. Until then, God help us all.

    And afterwards, God help us all.
     
  7. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    I would bet a four-figure sum Johnson gets way closer to 1.2 percent than 12 percent on Nov. 8. Summer is when third parties shine. When the leaves fall, so do they.
     
    HanSenSE likes this.
  8. Inky_Wretch

    Inky_Wretch Well-Known Member

  9. doctorquant

    doctorquant Well-Known Member

    You do realize that's a pretty substantial increase, don't you? If someone told you that doing X would increase the chance of your pecker falling off by roughly 33%, you'd quit doing X in an instant.
     
    Vombatus likes this.
  10. Twirling Time

    Twirling Time Well-Known Member

  11. YankeeFan

    YankeeFan Well-Known Member

    Doesn't he have to withdraw from the governor's race by noon today for the Republicans to get someone else on the ballot?

    (He can't run for both at the same time.)

    Wouldn't seem to fit with the timeline of an announcement tomorrow.

    Interestingly, Pence and Christie were both left the list of speakers at the convention, released this morning, while Newt was on it.
     
  12. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    Silver himself said this was a big jump for any candidate in one day in the 538 model, which like all models is based on probabilities created by existing data to smooth out signal noise. Right now, it's a close election. Last month, it wasn't. Four months from now, who knows?
     
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