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2013 MLB Hall of Fame Screechfest

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by MisterCreosote, Nov 28, 2012.

  1. Della9250

    Della9250 Well-Known Member

    Jim Caple wrote about the 10-man limit and the issues it's going to bring.

    I'll ask the voters on the board -- have they heard from others about the need to drop the limit because there are so many viable candidates now?

    There are people saying that the logjam everyone fears won't take place, that HOF players will be elected to the HOF regardless of these upcoming oversized ballots.
     
  2. outofplace

    outofplace Well-Known Member

    Still hiding behind lame insults because you know you just got your ass kicked on the facts, again. But you MUST be used to that by now.
     
  3. Tom Petty

    Tom Petty New Member

    yeah, dude. just subtract 400 RBI from martinez's stats and that will give you an accurate number ... idiot.
     
  4. Della9250

    Della9250 Well-Known Member

    One tracker with 31 full ballots:

    80.6 Biggio
    80.6 Raines
    77.4 Bagwell
    71.0 Piazza
    58.1 Morris
    51.6 Bonds
    51.6 Clemens
    51.6 Schilling
     
  5. outofplace

    outofplace Well-Known Member

    Now you're flat-out lying to cover up the beating you are taking on the facts. That, or you just have absolutely no idea what you are talking about, because I did no such thing.

    I'm pulling numbers directly from baseballreference.com.

    Here is Martinez's page, including 1,261 career RBI.
    http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/martied01.shtml

    Here is Molitor's, including 1,306 career RBI
    http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/molitpa01.shtml

    The averages for 162 games are right there as well. If you can find an actual error in the numbers I cited, please point it out. If you're just going to lie or make more stuff up, please just try stepping away from the computer for a while or at least go stalk somebody else.
     
  6. Della9250

    Della9250 Well-Known Member

    The best ballot tracker out there has 51 full ballots in its first update, which is 8.9 percent of last year's total ballots.

    70.6 - Bagwell
    68.6 - Biggio
    64.7 - Morris
    64.7 - Piazza
    64.7 - Raines
    54.9 - Clemens
    52.9 - Bonds
    37.3 - Schilling
    33.3 - Smith
    31.4 - Martinez
    31.4 - Trammell
    19.6 - Murphy
    15.7 - McGriff
    15.7 - McGwire
    11.8 - L. Walker
    11.8 - Palmerio
    11.8 - Sosa
    5.9 - Mattingly
    3.9 - Wells
    3.9 - Bernie Williams
    2.0 - Lofton
    2.0 - Rose
     
  7. Mizzougrad96

    Mizzougrad96 Active Member

    How crazy would it be if nobody got in this year? Based on those numbers, that seems possible.

    Interesting that Sosa is that low.
     
  8. outofplace

    outofplace Well-Known Member

    It wouldn't be crazy. It would be ridiculous.
     
  9. Della9250

    Della9250 Well-Known Member

    It's going to be tough to get someone in. Assuming the 600-ballot total, there are 550 still out there.

    Bagwell needs to be on 414.
    Biggio needs to be on 415
    Morris, Piazza, Raines need to be on 417
    Clemens needs to be on 424
    Bonds needs to be on 423
    Shilling needs to be on 431
     
  10. LongTimeListener

    LongTimeListener Well-Known Member

    I know people on this thread have talked about it too, but I'm seeing more and more of the "we have to wait for more information" rationale for leaving Bonds and Clemens off this year. What more could there possibly be to know about them? Guys have written books on it already!

    It's really just a cop-out excuse by the foot-stomping "he doesn't deserve to be a FIRST-BALLOT Hall of Famer" crowd.
     
  11. outofplace

    outofplace Well-Known Member

    That, and the voters determined to punish anybody who might have used.
     
  12. Della9250

    Della9250 Well-Known Member

    Break it down into 11 50-ballot blocks.

    For every ensuing 50 votes, guys needs to be on at least 40 ballots. I agree the sample size is relatively small. But you're already starting from way behind when, like Schilling, you have 19 out of 50 when you need to be on a 38 out of 50 pace. Even if he was on every one of the next 50 known ballots, he'd till be six percent short with 17 percent accounted for. It's a tough road to climb, even this early.

    It looks like Bagwell, Piazza, Biggio, Morris and Raines are the five that are going to have any chance of getting it. Bonds and Clemens are in the mix because I'm actually surprised they are over 50 percent but I'd be totally not shocked if the next 50 ballots had both on them, none of them or were split evenly.
     
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