2018 NFL Draft

I just got back from the event today and I'll be there tomorrow night.

 

Mel Kiper has always been a fraud. I did a Q&A with him once and he told me if he was an NFL general manager his team would win the Super Bowl.

 

Welp, he’s our next president!

 

Browns GM Dorsey said they have received no "legitimate" trade offers for the number one pick. Does he realize that's because 31 other teams are pretty sure he will fuck it up, so that from their point of view the draft starts with the Giants?

 

DaughterQuant's best friend works at an old-school college bar/restaurant down the way from the Jerrydome (I'm sure you can guess which) and was puzzling as to why they had her scheduled to work pretty much all weekend. My wife and I said, "Hmmmm, I bet we can guess why!"

 

The Giants are going to a 3-4 Defense. Would he be an end or OLB ?

 

Maddening QB drafting in a nutshell (courtesy of Matt Richner a QB analyst in a Ringer article):

"[I find] it maddening when teams fall in love with a big-armed quarterback like Wyoming’s Josh Allen because he might be able to throw a 35-yard post route even though those account for only a minuscule percentage of throws over a season, while something like a 10-yard out route is far more common. "

 

That's an argument I've heard regarding why they would pass on Chubb.

 

I agree except that the ability to throw deep, like the ability to have a receiver that can get deep with separation, is part of the reason those 10yard out routes are available.

 

I think if you have like Pennington-ish arm strength, or Bradford-esque panic in the pocket because of past hits, then it might be an issue. Otherwise, I imagine that most NFL QBs can sling it that far with ease. I also have a hunch that touch - being able to "throw" a guy open, like the best QBs do - correlates more to accuracy than arm strength. However, I have no idea how you'd go about proving that.

 

This is fun:

 

One point in Allen’s favor is that at a smaller school, the WRs generally aren’t that good at getting open or creating separation. So the QB is often throwing into tighter windows, checking down or throwing it away. That’s more similar to the NFL than hitting wide-open people all over the field in a spread.

I still wouldn’t touch Allen in the first.