College Football Week 2 Thread: Big Moo Saturday

Games I like for Week 2:

• Southern Miss U54.5 at Miami — I liked this game a touch more when it was 57, but anything over 50 is a good number. Southern Miss plays some really good defense, can score with it (four pick-sixes in their last five games including one last week) and tries to keep the score down. If they give up a ton, they won't score a ton. And if they don't give up a ton they still won't score a ton. Just gotta hope they don't score just enough to push this to the Over.

• Alabama -20 at Texas — Lock of the week. This Alabama team might be an all-time great, and Texas is nowhere near even great. This is also the kind of game Alabama wins by 40 just to prove a point.

• Mississippi State O59.5 at Arizona — Could be an error of recency bias here, but both teams looked pretty damn good on offense in their openers. This has shootout written all over it, and that 59.5 is like a juicy steak waiting to be bitten into.
Befitting the bizarre times we live in, however, the one caveat is that a hurricane could impact a game in Arizona. Hurricane Kay is forecast to skirt the Baja coast and turn out to sea as of now, but a shift in the track or forward motion could put the edges of the storm over southern Arizona make this a weather game and slow both teams down.

• Georgia Southern +21.5 at Nebraska — Seriously, at this point, how can you not take a team getting three touchdowns against Nebraska no matter who it is?

• Colorado State -7.5 vs. Middle Tennessee — You can write off Colorado State getting blasted on the road against Michigan. It's a lot harder to do it with Middle Tennessee doing the same at James Madison. With a modest line, give me Colorado State at home, especially if this line dips below 7.

And two games I want to like, but can't quite get there:

• Notre Dame -19 vs. Marshall — I think Notre Dame is a very good team that should win this game easily. For some reason, though, this game scares me. Can't quite put my finger on it.

• Michigan -51.5 vs. Hawaii — Almost no line is too big to bet against Hawaii at this point, but this one is just a little too big. Figure Michigan has to score at least 60 to avoid a garbage time touchdown swinging the game, and there's just too many things that can go wrong. At the same time, I don't trust Hawaii to score the 14 points it'll probably take to cover. It's a regrettable stay-away. We're only going to have 10 more chances to bet against a really shitty Hawaii team this season and letting one go feels wrong on some level.

 

Rutgers says, "Oh really?"

https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/boxscores/2016-10-08-rutgers.html

 

I’m sure BYM can tell me a hundred and one reasons I’m wrong, but Pitt being a touchdown dog at home to little UT feels insane to me.

 

Annnnd now it’s down. Hoping this works out OK for her, as The Advocate can have a (red?) stick up its ass sometimes when it comes to the LSU beat.

EDIT: Yeah I think this is going sideways fast for her. Neither of these tweets are still on her timeline when you click through.

 

A lot of her responses are still up. She said he started the presser early, which is why she was “late” and that at his presser last Thursday he was late and the whole thing was a joke.

of course being Brian Kelly when you watch the video it doesn’t seem like he’s joking. At least smile when you say it to let people know

 

Take the points on Cocks at Hogs. Cocks have been Hogs' kryptonite in recent history (since 2012).

 

We all would do well to take our games less seriously.

 

Simple answer is this Tennessee team is considered to be way more talented than that one Pitt played last year and escaped Knoxville with a win against, while this Pitt team doesn’t have Pickett and Addison. This is one of those rare win-win games for me. If they win, it’s a plus that will help the rankings. If they lose, they’ll drop a couple of spots but it won’t be fatal since they were an underdog to begin with.

I’ll say this: no one plays grievance better than Narduzzi so I expect them to cover but not win. I’ve had UT penciled in as a loss since the schedule was announced.

 

OK I give up. What am I supposed to see?

 

You mean OG UT.

 

Little UT plays UAT this week.

 

Brian Kelly sitting on a stool like a toddler.

(Someone in the AD needs to emphatically say “Coach is not going to sit on a stool next to a woman who is 6-foot tall. Put him behind the desk.”)