East Coast Bias Bowl -- Running Super Bowl XLVI Thread

Once choice gave them a 98+% chance of winning the Super Bowl. The other choice gave them something like a 90% chance.

So, your point?

 

One choice 100 percent gave them the lead. That's the choice that's the best with a minute left. And all your averaging of the NFL's historical results means a helluva lot less than knowing that the Patriots' receivers were dropping the ball all over the place.

Again, too bad the Giants fucked up by scoring, thus losing the Super Bowl.

 

You have an output error. Scoring the touchdown and giving the ball back did not give them a 90 percent chance. It gave a theoretical defense a 90 percent chance of stopping a theoretical offense. That says very little about the teams involved.

 

Again: You don't get a ring for having the lead through 59 minutes of the Super Bowl. That is not the goal. So therefore, it is only relevant in how it relates to the actual goal: Having the lead at the end.

Look at it this way. If you had a choice between being the Giants or the Patriots before that play, which would you choose? According to your "Having the lead is always better" argument, you'd want to be in the Patriots' situation.

That argument makes a lot of sense. If you want to argue that the chances of the Giants defense holding are better than the chances of the Giants making the field goal, then sure. I don't know if I agree, but I can totally respect it.

FYP

I disagree, but you might be right. That makes a lot of sense.

 

One thing that did cross my mind today: I wonder how differently the Giants would have looked at the prospect of giving the ball back if one Randy Moss had been in the game.

 

Bullshit odds. Should have been 100-1, at least. A safety to start a Super Bowl, and pick the right team? Horribly unlikely. Dude should have 100 grand.

 

According to something I read today, the odds of the first score being a safety were 100-1. To correctly pick that it would be the Giants who scored it, you'd think the odds would have been even longer than that. He got terrible odds. I bet he's not complaining, though.

 

In 2008, Eli led the Giants on a 77-yard drive that ended on a Plaxico Burress touchdown reception. Last night, Eli led the Giants on a 76-yard drive that ended on an Ahmad Bradshaw rushing touchdown.

In 2008, Eli completed five of nine passes with an average of 13.9 yards per attempt. Last night, Eli completed five of six passes for an average of 13.8 yards per attempt.

Oh, and Eli completed one 30-yard pass in each of his two winning Super Bowl drives. (He completed the helmet-pressing catch to David Tyree in 2008, while completing a beautiful bass along the sideline to Mario Manningham last night.)

So... Eli is getting slowly and consistently ...worse. (Joking. Sort of.)

 

Awesome

 

Prance resisting kissing an ass it would be a political aid for him to kiss? Unpossible!

 

Don't be too quick to rely on superficial surface reads.