Gambling Thread

Second Men’s Basketball Team Linked to Investigation for Unusual Wagering Activity

https://www.si.com/college/2024/03/...o-investigation-for-unusual-wagering-activity

 

Is that a lot?

Bruno Mars Apparently Owes $50 Million in Gambling Debt

 

Make it all back fading Grambling Tuesday night.

 

Grambling debt

 

Good to be back in action. First half unders.

 

Spent the first two days of the tournament just making straight bets. No parlays. Rough first day but I doubled up yesterday with some good picks -- including Yale ML in game which was still +190 in the closing minutes when the game was tied. Taking a lot of over-unders halfway through the first half of games once the pace seems to be set. Having some success there.

 

Having an absolute trainwreck of an NCAA weekend. Looked at the Islanders game today, decided Cal Clutterbuck was due, put $2 on him to score at +1000. He scored twice in the first period. Basically bought back my NCAA losses. *Homer voice* problem solved!

 

I did a half-dozen three-team parlays on the NCAA Tournament and not a single one of them hit. I think only one even hit 2/3 legs. It's hard to misfire that badly. Thankfully they were only $5 apiece so I didn't lost much. It was mostly for shits and giggles.

Today, I had the epiphany — literally a day late and $40 short — that I took the completely wrong approach to the first round. I should have gone at it like I do the Super Bowl, where I lay down a bunch of cheap plus-odds prop bets. In this case, it would've been a bunch of cheap plus-odds underdogs with a reasonable chance of springing an upset. There were a lot of underdogs in the 5-12 through 8-9 games that were at least +140.
My betting strategy for parlays is to fill time windows anyway, so betting those games would've fulfilled the same objectives. Let me follow a game in each window, for relatively low stakes, and I still get to enjoy the thrill of an upset. Instead, almost all of my parlays exploded on the first leg.
Something I'll have to try to remember for next year.

 

Outright Winner:
Shane Lowry +5500
Patrick Reed +8000
Jon Rahm +1200
Hideki Matsuyama +1800

Longshot Outright Winner:
Sepp Stracha 150-1

Top Debutant
Ludvig Aberg +275. 25th/better last 4 events

Top Korean. NOT Top Asian but top Korean
So-Woo Kim +180 Fanatics. No worse than 39th at Masters.

Top Brit/Irish:
Shane Lowry +625 at Caesars

Top Senior (50+)
Phil Mickelson -140

Top Lefty
Phil Mickelson +410 Fanatics

Top LIV Finisher
Patrick Reed +1200. He leads the field in birdies/better at Masters the last 20 rounds.

First Round Winner:
Justin Rose +6000. Second in birdies/better at Masters last 20 rounds
Shane Lowry +4500
Russell Henley +4500
Tiger Woods MISS Cut. ESPN -125

Outright Winner:
Shane Lowry +5500
Patrick Reed +8000
Jon Rahm +1200
Hideki Matsuyama +1800

Longshot Outright Winner:
Sepp Stracha 150-1

Top 10 Finisher:
Cameron Young +350 ESPNBet
Hideki Matsuyama +175
Scotty Scheffler -195 ESPNBet

Top 20 Finisher
Nick Taylor +330 ESPNBet
Hideki Matsuyama -130

Round 1 Matchups to consider:
MAX HOMA -105 vs. Tyrell Hatton FanDuel
COREY CONNORS -110 vs. Jason Day FanDuel
PHIL MICKELSON -110 vs. Nick Dunlap FanDuel
GARY WOODLAND -125 vs. Tiger Woods FanDuel

Guys to Fade:
Tyrell Hatton - Missed Cut +200 on Fanatics and Matchups. He hates the course. OVER 31.5 (finish 32nd or higher)
Patrick Cantlay - in bad form of late. OVER 27.5 (finish 28th or higher)
Hole in One. YES is -200 Caesars. Bet it for a couple bucks with some random college football future for fun.

 

Ready for sports betting tourism.

In June, I’ll be flying into either CLT or DCA to spend 4 days/3 nights betting on sports.

Opening new accounts in NC, VA, WV, MD, NJ, PA, NY and OH should bag me $17000 in free bets.

I will spread out ALL of the free bets on winners for an NFL Division Winner - all four teams at differing levels. Eyeing the NFC North as three teams are +250 or better. I should be able to clear about 10k on each team. That… will pay for spring semester of my daughter’s college costs.