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Gambling Thread

Discussion in 'Anything goes' started by Songbird, Oct 18, 2013.

  1. Driftwood

    Driftwood Well-Known Member

    I went to the Red Mile in Lexington one time, and yeah, harness racing isn't the same neither on nor off the track.
     
  2. exmediahack

    exmediahack Well-Known Member

    I have a $100 Eagles-Bills Super Bowl matchup from November 15. +2760. Let’s go.

    (also had Ravens-lions +3700 from that time.)
     
    playthrough and Batman like this.
  3. exmediahack

    exmediahack Well-Known Member

    And we are hedged.

    chiefs win… $522. More if Allen scores, Kelce gets 66 yards and worthy gets 4 rushing yards.

    Bills win… two large.
     
  4. playthrough

    playthrough Moderator Staff Member

    Pro tip: if the TGL is bettable in your state (not in mine, sigh), lay the number tonight with Rory's Boston Common vs. Tiger's Jupiter Links. This silly sim league has had all blowouts so far with lopsided matchups and tonight you've got Tiger, Kevin Kisner and Tom Kim vs. Rory, Keegan Bradley and Adam Scott. That's another mismatch and in their format you can't hide the weak guys. Oddsmakers are finally catching up to that but don't be afraid of the favorite price.
     
  5. exmediahack

    exmediahack Well-Known Member

    Simple approach.
    If you like the chiefs, take them ML but also sprinkle a little on “win 1-6” at +300-350
     
    MileHigh and playthrough like this.
  6. playthrough

    playthrough Moderator Staff Member

    ... and let that be a lesson about gambling, kids
     
    Webster likes this.
  7. swingline

    swingline Well-Known Member

    OK, so I’m gambling dumb, but what the hell does “win 1-6” mean?
     
  8. Batman

    Batman Well-Known Member

    For the Super Bowl, you can bet on the winning margin — 1-6 points, 7-12, 13-19, etc. "Win 1-6" means betting on the Chiefs or the Eagles to win by between 1 and 6 points.
     
  9. Batman

    Batman Well-Known Member

    One of those nights.
    Figured I'd throw a few bucks at some mostly off-brand college basketball and see if I can bankroll my Super Bowl bets.
    Southern Miss had a miracle comeback to not win, but cover a +11.5 spread after being down 27 with 7 1/2 minutes left. Alcorn State won outright. Nice ... until Leg 3, Jackson State, craps the bed and loses outright at home as an 8-point favorite.
    Parlay 2 is Ohio State -7.5 over Iowa (ding!), Lamar -5 vs. Northwestern State (ding-ding!!) and South Alabama -12 at Louisiana-Monroe (fail horn). South Alabama loses outright to a really shitty ULM team.
    Last one is Iowa State at Arizona. Iowa State is a 2-point road underdog, so I took them -1 (slightly better odds than the money line). They're grinding, but up two and at the foul line with 2.2 seconds left. Of course they miss the first one, then this happens and they proceed to get their asses kicked in overtime.
    Looks like I'm hitting the ATM for the Super Bowl next week.

     
  10. exmediahack

    exmediahack Well-Known Member

    It’s been a cash register this year.

    Especially in these games where the Jedi mind tricks lead KC’s opponents to keep kicking long field goals or going for two and messing the scoring flow up.
     
    MileHigh and Batman like this.
  11. Webster

    Webster Well-Known Member

    I was bored yesterday and reviewed all of the SGP and SGPx bets I’ve placed at DraftKings since the beginning of football season (including other sports). As I mentioned, I pretty much only do these bets with a no-sweat or at least a 50% boost (although a couple of times I did a 33% boost). If I had bet these without the boosts, I’d have about 41% of my money. With the boosts and assuming that I got 90 cents on the dollar back with my no sweat bets, I was at 119%. A lot of that was on a crazy multi leg soccer bet which had a 100% boost.
     
  12. exmediahack

    exmediahack Well-Known Member

    Books got smart on the chiefs 1-6 market.

    I have not seen higher than +270.
     
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