Muh Muh Muh My Corona (virus)

Alabama's R0 is up to 1. That's the number I'm watching, that and the seven day increase.

 

The data on clusters from the NYT is interesting.
Of the clustered (≥50 cases were per site) in nursing homes and similar rehab facilities, 74% come in Democratic states.
Trumpist states account for 58% of clustered cases in jails and prisons and 69% of such cases in food-processing facilities.

 

The racial imbalances in the numbers are about to equalize in a bigly way.

 

seasonality?

maybe

Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period

It is urgent to understand the future of severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. We used estimates of seasonality, immunity, and cross-immunity for human coronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43) and HCoV-HKU1 using time-series data from the United States to inform a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. We projected that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after the initial, most severe pandemic wave. Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022.

 

seasonality?

maybe

Will coronavirus (COVID-19) infection rates drop this summer?

That’s a question many experts have debated -- to no avail. Local 4 Dr. Frank McGeorge is urging people to use any potential period of decrease to prepare.

 

Our local race track opened back up last night, and from all reports it was a packed sell out.

North Carolina might (I hope) be coming around from a GOP lock to a tossup. There are plenty of of Trumpers out there, but if voter turnout is good in the cities - if it's not suppressed - the numbers look favorable. Trust me, I've heard a million times "Them liberals in Raleigh." but I think Cal Cunningham has a shot at knocking off Tillis, and Burr could be headed to jail. Now that the state isn't so badly gerrymandered, that's a plus, too.

 

Shoving sick elderly folks back into nursing homes to infect the whole joint and kill a bunch of folks would be one thing to avoid.

 

So noted.