MU's Gabbert Goes Pro/Year of the QB-- NFL Draft Thread 11

I'd be stunned if there is any team out there right now that covets the No. 1 pick.
Next year it will take a truckload of players and picks to pry the pick away from whoever is lucky enough to get it.

 

That's the other thing: if the season doesn't take place and they have to rig up some system to determine draft order in 2012, then you can't make a reasonable estimate about that pick's probable worth, because you don't know where it'll fall.

If they average the previous three years, as the NHL did, then that likely puts the top pick in Detroit's grubby hands. Do they give up on Stafford or do they pull a Hershel Walker/Ricky Williams deal with a desperately seeking QB suitor?

 

MM II, do you seriously believe the entire season will be wiped out? The 1982 strike lasted eight weeks, the 1987 strike four weeks. Neither side is acting like people prepared for a LONG fight. Bitter, yes, long, no.

 

That's what they said about baseball cancelling a World Series or the NHL wiping a season off the books during a hot stretch in the 90's. Plus it's not like they have to deadlock until the end of the season to cancel it. Once they reach a tipping point, say week 8, they probably can't do a season even if they kissed and made up right on the spot.

 

There are four and a half months until the start of the season. In labor negotiating terms, that's a geological amount of time.

 

The only thing that will be delayed will be the start of training camp or maybe the preseason. They'll have a deal done by early August at the latest.

 

If they're meeting every day? Sure. But if there's an impasse and a resulting long stretch of dormacy, all bets are off. I don't think they're going to wash the season either, but GMs have to be at least factoring it into their gameplanning.

 

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/11113/1141415-66.stm

Neat story on a guy who puts statisical analysis into draft history. He also runs a website with the information.

 

I'm trying to figure out which is the bigger overcovered story this year - the draft or the royal wedding. I've been figuring well it's got to be "next week" for the last couple of months considering the level of hype.
And figure Middleton will prove to be a better choice than anyone who goes in the first round in New York.
One question though - could a team just "eat" their pick? Say you've got the no. 1, but you don't want to use it - or be obliged to pay No. 1 money - on any of the projects at QB. Can you just hold on to it and wait until the draft gets to a point where you don't feel you are overpaying for a pick?

 

Royal Wedding hands down .

 

Yeah, but a Royal Wedding happens once every 20-30 years. The draft is every year.

And, no, Orville, if you don't use your pick, it's doesn't roll over. Some team --- the Vikings or maybe the Raiders --- forfeited a pick a few years ago because they didn't get it in within the time limit.

 

If you are British, I am guessing few things are bigger than a royal wedding.