Pre-Super Tuesday Presidential poll

Probably. According to a California exit poll the NYT wrote about, Sanders got 50 percent of Tuesday’s vote from those who describe themselves as independents. Biden got 14 percent. The trend was fairly consistent in several Super Tuesday states. Those independent voters don’t necessarily have an allegiance to the DNC, and that is a gap Biden may have to make up to beat Trump, provided he’s the nominee.

 

This kind of stuff is not helping Biden with those individuals:

Biden says he's open to a Republican running mate

 

That's from last December.

 

By my count, at least 15 percent of California voters chose someone who dropped out of the race.

2020 California Presidential Primary Election Results

 

That's what happens when you allow early voting to start a month before the primary

 

Warren's appeal to me was partly her policies and also partly her pragmatism. Yes, she was willing to do things via executive order, but she also had clear plans in place for things to evolve over time.

Warren and Sanders both want single-payer healthcare. But where Sanders wants to just shove the country into the deep end of the pool and expect it to swim, Warren's shift to government healthcare was more incremental.

Also, Warren convinced me when she said she'd be delighted if another candidate co-opted her plans. It was never about her, but the ideas.

Sanders' actions and stubbornness make it clear that he believes only he can fix America. His policies may be the same as Warren, but his rigidness and combativeness make him a less appealing candidate in the general election. It also offers more doubt that he'll be able to get anything substantial in done while in office. Who will work with him?

I was behind Warren because I thought she was the best candidate, not just because she's progressive. With her campaign dead, I'm now a pragmatic voter. Biden is less progressive, but he's the better candidate. He has a greater mass appeal. He has less baggage. And I'd rather delay some more progressive policies in order to have a better shot at beating Trump than take a greater risk with Sanders.

 

I vote in the New Jersey primary on June 2. If it's between Sanders and Biden, Sanders gets my vote. It'll be all over by then and he's a lot more in line with my thinking. America needs change in its education and medical systems, as well as a rethink about the relationship between a healthy democracy and capitalism.

Or, in other words, I'm going to have to cut some rotten parts out of that apple to eat it. But a lot, lot less than with Biden.

 

Here's the thing about the Bernie Bros that I've said a hundred times:
Stay home in November, and Trump wins. Whether you vote or not, you live with those consequences. It's not like if you don't go vote, you won't be affected by his administration. I fail to see why that concept is so hard to grasp.

 

I'd be careful reading too much into the youth vote in primary season. I'll be honest, this is the first primary I've ever voted in, and I'm in my 40s. I voted in every presidential election since I turned 18, but I never really got deep enough into it to go to the polling place for a primary. I suspect I'm not the only one who thought that way in his/her younger days.

 

The thing is, the 18-29 vote did increase significantly over 2016's primary. But all the other age groups increased even more.

 

I don't get it. Why?