President Biden: The NEW one and only politics thread

A thread from a former Democratic pollster. So, keep in mind he's pro-Harris, but this is pretty down-the-middle analysis.



Trump's online mob is starting to freak over Pennsylvania.



And there are underlying signs that the polls are off. Not necessarily skewed or made up, but miscalculated.



Also, Nate Silver has joined the chorus of poll analysts warning against interpreting early voting data. It's not a predictor of anything, despite what the online Trump cronies are pushing.



The bottom line is this is likely going to be a very close election. Trump may win. But do not listen to the boasting from the far right hacks or the doom and gloom from Democrats. They're just playing the same notes they always do up until election day.

 

I cannot imagine the horror of RFK Jr. in charge of the USDA...

 

Can't hurt.

 

Oh goodie. The same crap policies with better wrapping paper. He's just the physical manifestation of their collective id. None of Project 2025 is new. The gerrymandering isn't new. The obstruction of governance isn't new. The Christian nationalism isn't new. They may be more subtle and skilled with how they go about things, but back to normal is only better than the alternative.

 

I've lived in London for a long time now - two cheers - but why is Mumford and Sons playing a rally in Wisconsin?

 

A disoriented Trump exits the garbage truck

 

Bad news for Dems?

 

If you want to be in the cult, you have to be fully in the cult

 

I don’t believe polls anymore.

 

Got a Problem? The GOP Has Someone to Blame. | The New Republic

 

My gut feeling from a week ago has changed. I think the Nazi rally/Puerto Rico blowback is real and has changed the feel of the last week of this thing. So, yes, cautious optimism.

The only thing the out-of-context Biden quote has done is rile up the people that were already voting for Trump. It's a nothingburger.

 

That's Bigfoot, not Littlehands.