President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

Betting markets have it about 85-90% Biden still.

 

He has a chance but he essentially has to win everything that's left.

 

I imagine there has to be a pretty severe limit to what you can put down on Biden... but, maybe not so much on Trump currently.

 

The numbers guys seem to think PA is definitely going to Biden (Since Nate Silver works for ABC, he can't say "definitely" anything until the network does
).

 

Not winning the Senate will allow him to tell the left wing of the party to stuff it it just won't clear the Senate. Won't stop the House from going left because AOC for better or worse will be the new face until the Dems lose control of the chamber. The center of the party needs to step up and force the far left to form a true new party.

 

Looks to me like there are about 350k ballots remaining in Arizona. If that's the case Trump isn't gaining enough ground to be much of a threat.

 

The trend in PA has pretty steadily been Biden closing the gap by 30k votes or so every 1% that comes in. Right now, it's 88% in and Trump is up by less than 200k. I think people have been extrapolating to say that somewhere another 6-7% or so (94-95%) if the trends continue, Biden will tie. The next 4-5% would put him over by 100-150k. Again, assumes that these trends will continue, but they have so far at least.

 

Why in flaming hell would the centrist Dems tell any substantial percentage of their own party to "form a true new party?" They don't have any percentage points to throw away.

 

Hmm. Looks like the latest numbers drop from Arizona was from only 76k ballots. If that's the case, this could possibly get tight.

 

Biden should threaten to sue Arizona to stop the count just to hear the reaction from Fox and tramp