President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

Yup. And it should be noted that dozens of states are still counting. We're just paying attention to four because the outcome isn't in doubt elsewhere.

 

Meh, turnout is up everywhere. And you know Oregon has some crazies in the east. Wouldn't surprise me if people who voted third party in 2016 got pissed off at Democrats and voted for Trump instead.

 

Yeah, I'm not seeing that either.

I go off this - it gets the counts faster than the networks.

 

Here is the most recent Georgia update. Should be about 10k ballots left, and they should continue to break for Biden at a very, very high rate. He's not *quite* going to get to the 10k I said 24 hours ago, but it should be between 5k and 8k.

Then comes provisionals and maybe a day's worth of military absentees that have until tommorrow's. Provisionals tend to skew blue in Georgia (and most places) because the general ratfucking of black voters.

There's going to be a recount, but his lead will be well outside of what a normal recount would be expected to flip.

 

@RickStain, you’re awesome at this. Thanks to you and @SoloFlyer for the analysis for dummies like me who wouldn’t have any idea how this was breaking down. Cohn, Kornacki and Silver are great, but you guys are better at putting it into the right words for my weird brain.

 

MSNBC has Trump's lead in Georgia trimmed to 463.

 

Biden leads in Georgia by almost 1,000 (917)

 

Yeah, it's going to a recount, but that was worth staying up for. (It helps not being on the East Coast.)

 

Biden’s 4 million popular vote win is all California. Subtract California and they are running even in the popular vote.

 

California is part of the United States.

 

MSNBC: Biden is now up 917 in Georgia.

 

If, in the end, things go as I want them to, I’ll find the most popular bar in the county next week when I’m headed to Augusta, walk in and announce, “Drinks are on me!”