Romney a Lock - You Can Put it On the Board YESSSS!!

Et tu?

Can I get the English translation of this? LOL.

 

I assume you're bragging about this. To which I would say that you're bragging that your guy has a one-point lead in a poll conducted by a right-leaning pollster in a state he pretty much has to win to win the election.

K.

 

Fivethirtyeight on swing states:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/04/27/arizona-is-probably-not-a-swing-state/?hp

Pretty neat.

 

Damn, Nate Silver is good.

That's where immigration and the Supreme Court can really change things from the previous assumptions -- would be a big GOTV boost for the Democrats. But it seems like the strategy is more to make Romney spend time and money there and weaken him elsewhere. From what Silver writes, it sounds like Obama can win without taking Arizona, but Romney probably cannot.

 

The Fast and Furious Scandal will not go away for Obama. He should have thrown Holder under the bus when he had a chance. The scandal will eat up news cycles and will not go away.

Watergate took down Nixon and nobody was killed in the Watergate Scandal.

Arizona will not go to Obama.

 

Yes, the coverage and public appetite for that has been overwhelming. I bet you'd get at least 2 percent of people who could identify what it is.

 

It doesn't need to.

When Romney is campaigning in Scottsdale in mid-October, that's a beaten candidate.

 

One of my favorite tidbits from 2008 was the Obama campaign opening a campaign office in Fargo, thinking it would swing Democrat.

 

Let's wait and see about this a little bit.

After '08, the Republican party was dead. A Regional Party. The Democrat Party was going to extend its gains in the Congressional Mid-Terms.

A list of vulnerable Republicans was drawn up. Folks like Michelle Bachmann were going to get defeated. The Dems were going to be on the offensive.

How'd that go?

The Republicans won big. Dems didn't even defend many vulnerable members. Folks like Bart Stupak decided to not even run for re-election.

You're right that Romney's in big trouble if he has to spend time and money in Arizona.

I'll bet he doesn't have to.

But, Obama will be spending time and money there, and in North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, etc. -- unless he decides some of those states are un-winnable, and not worth it.

 

Democrat Party!

 

Like catnip.

Fucks here refer to the the Republican nominee as Mittens.

George W. Bush was Fredo, Shrub, etc.

But everybody wets their fucking pants if you call it the Democrat Party.