Trump cheats at golf - the ONE and ONLY politics thread

Yeah. The Rubio-as-Obama thing is a nice Republican fantasy, but he's going nowhere.

 

He comes off like a scared little boy.

 

The Times UpShot:

Donald Trump is now more likely than not to win the Republican nomination.

On the day of the Iowa caucuses, the political prediction markets, where traders bet on the outcome of the election, give him a 51 percent chance of becoming the G.O.P. nominee.

Although the Republican field still nominally contains an unusually large slate of candidates, prediction market traders see a four-horse race. Mr. Trump is the clear favorite. The second favorite is Marco Rubio, at 33 percent.

Ted Cruz, who appears to be Mr. Trump’s most serious rival to win in Iowa, is not expected to do as well in less conservative states, and so he is given only an 8 percent chance. The early front-runner in the race, Jeb Bush, is now given only a 6 percent chance.
...
Mr. Trump is now rated to have a 59 percent chance to win Monday evening’s Iowa caucuses, a 69 percent chance to win the New Hampshire primary and a 70 percent chance to win the South Carolina primary. He’s also given a 69 percent chance to win in Nevada.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/02/u...tml?rref=collection/sectioncollection/us&_r=0

 

Those jobs, with their defined benefit pensions, would be snapped up in a fucking heartbeat.

As Sandy Alderson once said, that is either a threat to be ignored, or an offer to be accepted.

 

And that state doesn't even matter because it's a blue state so he really has zero states that matter.

My point is let IA and NH thin the herd and see who is left. Trump and Cruz don't have much upside or else they'd be doing better between name recognition with Donald and the number of visits from Cruz.

As an aside, this week is a big chunk of what I do for a living. I freaking love this week as it is a lot like covering sports.

 

It can't be because Republicans want substance over image as Trump is doing well.

 

Maybe because he doesn't talk constantly -- in public, anyway -- about having sex with them or ogling them in skin mags. Who knows, maybe he'll want to relive his glory days of the decadent disco Seventies in the Studio 54 bathroom stalls. "Come along with me, boys, and Daddy will show you the kingdom he ruled in the disco days. Here, hold the Vaseline."

 

Nah. Either shit happens, or it doesn't.

 

Can't be good for you man.

 

New hires won't have those Cadillac benefits. Those jobs will be mostly Mickey D scale.

 

2016 benefits, however much reduced, are STILL Cadillac benefits to schlubs trying to make ends meet on two part time jobs, and the wife working at Wal-Mart.