Trump cheats at golf - the ONE and ONLY politics thread

Looks legit:

 

It is legit. Langer Research is very well respected outfit, and a 4-point Clinton lead is certainly within the realm of possibility. After all, same poll had that exact margin two weeks ago. Tracking polls are volatile. If trend continues, yeah, big news. But Clinton didn't lose support, Trump gained. Worth noting this the first national poll to show Trump as high as 44 percent and it has the most decline of Johnson and Stein voters.

 

Virginia and Pennsylvania were always going to be hard -- though they'd also be game changers if Republicans could win them.

But, let's look at the polling here too.

The Christopher Newport University Poll (whatever the fuck that is) ending 10/14 had Clinton +15.

Their poll ending 10/19 had Clinton +12.

Their poll out today has Clinton +7.

Now, am I supposed to believe Trump picked up 8 points against her in two weeks?

Part of the reason polls tighten at the end, is because their final polls are what they're graded on.

But, the early polls help to write a narrative, that takes hold in the media, drives coverage, and shapes voter opinion.

 

On the other hand look at the IBD poll. This was one of the only polls showing a Trump lead (along with Rasmussen and the USC/LAT) but predictably they now have Clinton up 3. By election day they will have her up 6 or 7 so they can tell the world they were right in 2016.

 

Yes. I agree.

 

Starman incest riff coming in 5 ... 4 ... 3 ...

 

Rigged!

 

Yes, you should. He has kept his big yapper shut for two weeks, and, as predicted, Republicans are abandoning Johnson.

 

Wrong.

Trump: I'll Teach Military Expert 'a Couple of Things' About Mosul

People are just numb to the idiocy at this point.

 

We have almost two dozen national polls going at this point. A couple of extreme outliers at any given time are to be expected, and those will be expected to return to normal in their next few iterations.

 

He'd still lose Mississippi.