ACC (1) -- SMU won't get in at 11-2.
Big 12 (1) -- BYU's not getting in at 10-2, and the CG loser isn't getting in with three losses
B1G (4) -- I don't see how any of those top four get left out. Seeding could change, but it's going to be Oregon, Indiana, Penn State and Ohio State.
Independents (1) -- Notre Dame is safe
SEC (4) -- Tennessee is safe, so is Texas. Georgia is safe, even with a loss in the SEC CG. That leaves you with Alabama and South Carolina for a spot, and the Tide won that matchup. You put SMU (11-2) up against Alabama (9-3) and Bama gets in.
G5 (1) -- This is where it gets interesting. What if Boise loses? Tulane was 17th in the last CFP ranking but will drop out after the Memphis loss. Army isn't in the CFP ranking. UNLV is 22nd. So the MWC GC is for the final spot in the field. If Boise wins, it will likely get a bye. If UNLV wins, they'll still likely be the highest-ranked G5 champ and probably go on the road in round 1.