Kentucky and Texas A&M are presumably the last two teams held in that high regard but both are struggling right now.
UK might be able to turn it around if it can get everyone healthy but Jaxson Robinson's wrist didn't hold up in his first game back and he didn't play after halftime at Oklahoma. Without him the Cats become very thin very fast at the point and even with him the defense has been poor. Clashic high ceiling, low floor team.
A&M has lost three in a row and the offense is regressing over the course of the season. The Aggies love and die by being foul merchants and making the game as ugly as possible. I don't know that they will get as generous a whistle from officials not used to their style and the returns have been diminishing anyway. Wade Taylor IV is supposed to be the glue guy but the chemistry just seems off the last month-plus.
That leaves five high-end contenders, three of whom could end up a No. 1 seed. But it feels a little bit too much to expect chalk to hold everywhere and thus me penciling in downside risk.