Masters Running Thread

[trifectarich]

I'll be playing golf Sunday. I figure I'm not missing much if I get in front of a television with the leaders making the turn.

Yes, Tiger is the favorite anywhere you ask. But betting favorites in golf lose more than probably any other sport.

 

[Barsuk]

The real question is Tiger vs. the field. I'm leaning toward Tiger, but there are a few guys I think have a shot. The list will always include Mickelson; Geoff Ogilvy is playing awfully well; you can't count out Ernie Els; and Vaughn Taylor, a local guy, would be a great story.

 

[playthrough]

I'll be in Vegas on Wednesday and will check the boards; Tiger certainly won't be higher than even money or 3-2, which could open some opportunities for long odds on contenders.

 

[Evil ... Thy name is Orville Redenbacher!!]

The real question is Tiger vs. the field. I'm leaning toward Tiger, but there are a few guys I think have a shot. The list will always include Mickelson; Geoff Ogilvy is playing awfully well; you can't count out Ernie Els; and Vaughn Taylor, a local guy, would be a great story.

I would write off both Els and Mickelson. Els' game is a mess and Mickelson's game is up to par yet either.
Ogilvy is playing well right now so is Vijay, if he can putt, he could be a threat.
I also like the two Argentians: Andres Romero and Migeul Cabrera.
I'd be a fool to take the field over Tiger.

 

[Barsuk]

The real question is Tiger vs. the field. I'm leaning toward Tiger, but there are a few guys I think have a shot. The list will always include Mickelson; Geoff Ogilvy is playing awfully well; you can't count out Ernie Els; and Vaughn Taylor, a local guy, would be a great story.

I would write off both Els and Mickelson. Els' game is a mess and Mickelson's game is up to par yet either.
Ogilvy is playing well right now so is Vijay, if he can putt, he could be a threat.
I also like the two Argentians: Andres Romero and Migeul Cabrera.
I'd be a fool to take the field over Tiger.

Els won a few weeks ago; Mickelson has had more success at Augusta than any active player not named Tiger Woods; Vijay is a nice pick, as are the Argentinians, though I'm guessing you meant Angel Cabrera, rather than the Detroit Tigers' third baseman.

 

[Evil ... Thy name is Orville Redenbacher!!]

The real question is Tiger vs. the field. I'm leaning toward Tiger, but there are a few guys I think have a shot. The list will always include Mickelson; Geoff Ogilvy is playing awfully well; you can't count out Ernie Els; and Vaughn Taylor, a local guy, would be a great story.

I would write off both Els and Mickelson. Els' game is a mess and Mickelson's game is up to par yet either.
Ogilvy is playing well right now so is Vijay, if he can putt, he could be a threat.
I also like the two Argentians: Andres Romero and Migeul Cabrera.
I'd be a fool to take the field over Tiger.

Els won a few weeks ago; Mickelson has had more success at Augusta than any active player not named Tiger Woods; Vijay is a nice pick, as are the Argentinians, though I'm guessing you meant Angel Cabrera, rather than the Detroit Tigers' third baseman.

No! I meant Miguel. I think his glove will really help him get around Amen Corner.

Yeah, I meant Angel.

 

[Pancamo]

Vegasinsider.com has Tiger as a 7-5 favorite. You can buy the field at 9-2.

 

[bigpern23]

Tiger is even money to win on Bodog. Mickelson is 10-1. No one else is closer than 20-1. The field is 25-1, but I don't think it includes the top 60 contenders.

 

[Beaker]

I'll echo the thoughts about Ogilvy. If it isn't Tiger, I'd bet on him--he's coming on this season at just the right time, and he's got the game to win it.

Not sure that it will be this one, but sooner or later, Adam Scott is going to win one.

 

[Evil ... Thy name is Orville Redenbacher!!]

Tiger is even money to win on Bodog. Mickelson is 10-1. No one else is closer than 20-1. The field is 25-1, but I don't think it includes the top 60 contenders.

Is the contenders the same as say the top 60 ranked players in the world?
25-1 w/o the Top 60 contenders sucks.
The field is only what 90 guys, including former champs like Sandy Lyle, Larry Mize and Bernhard Langer?
So you would essentailly have your money riding on a handful of players who have a shot at winning?

 

[Barsuk]

darn, I was about to make a Charles Coody joke, but he's not playing this year. Dead-ash-last is up for grabs.

 

[bigpern23]

Tiger is even money to win on Bodog. Mickelson is 10-1. No one else is closer than 20-1. The field is 25-1, but I don't think it includes the top 60 contenders.

Is the contenders the same as say the top 60 ranked players in the world?
25-1 w/o the Top 60 contenders sucks.
The field is only what 90 guys, including former champs like Sandy Lyle, Larry Mize and Bernhard Langer?
So you would essentailly have your money riding on a handful of players who have a shot at winning?

It sounds like that ... think you'd be better off spreading $20 each around on guys like Ogilvy and Vijay than putting $60 on the field in that case. Here's how it reads on Bodog:

Odds to win the 2008 US Masters Preview All wagers have Action. Single Bets Only. No Refunds.
Tiger Woods 1/1
Phil Mickelson 10/1
Vijay Singh 20/1
Ernie Els 25/1
Padraig Harrington 25/1
Retief Goosen 28/1
Adam Scott 28/1
Justin Rose 40/1
Jim Furyk 33/1
Geoff Ogilvy 25/1
K.J. Choi 40/1
Luke Donald 40/1
Henrik Stenson 40/1
Sergio Garcia 50/1
Steve Stricker 50/1
Zach Johnson 50/1
Rory Sabbatini 50/1
Mike Weir 66/1
Lee Westwood 66/1
Angel Cabrera 66/1
Stuart Appleby 66/1
Aaron Baddeley 66/1
Tim Clark 66/1
Stewart Cink 66/1
Trevor Immelman 80/1
J.B. Holmes 80/1
Paul Casey 80/1
Andres Romero 80/1
Daniel Chopra 80/1
Robert Allenby 80/1
Sean O'Hair 100/1
Scott Verplank 100/1
Hunter Mahan 100/1
Fred Couples 66/1
Davis Love III 100/1
Chris Dimarco 100/1
Boo Weekley 100/1
Brandt Snedeker 100/1
Charles Howell III 100/1
Jose Maria Olazabal 125/1
David Toms 125/1
Stephen Ames 125/1
Camilo Villegas 125/1
Ian Poulter 125/1
Niclas Fasth 125/1
Nick Watney 150/1
Rod Pampling 150/1
Mark Calcavecchia 150/1
Chad Campbell 100/1
Nick O'Hern 150/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1
Arron Oberholser 150/1
Jonathan Byrd 150/1
Robert Karlsson 150/1
Brett Wetterich 150/1
John Senden 200/1
Colin Montgomerie 200/1
Darren Clarke 200/1
Bernhard Langer 200/1
Jeev M Singh 200/1
Richard Sterne 200/1
John Rollins 200/1
Vaughn Taylor 200/1
Steve Flesch 200/1
Nick Dougherty 200/1
Woody Austin 200/1
Bubba Watson 200/1
The Field (any other golfer) 25/1